Data analysis is like learning jujitsu. Until you find the correct "position" to really get a "grip" on the data... it will either elude you or mislead you.
I think the number of excess deaths required before people notice would be dependent on the age groups and to what the deaths are attributed. With children or teenagers, it would be much more noticeable, especially if the deaths occur from disease that does not normally affect this group.
"how many deaths would there need to be in a given week for most people to even get an inkling that there is something wrong going on?"
Unless the deaths touch individual's lives, millions can die and few but the data trackers would notice. How many unexpected deaths within a community or circle of friends before it is undeniable that they are related to the same product?
Issues matter most when they're personal and folks have skin in the game. My guess is the miscarriages and fertility issues will burst this bubble because women talk to each other constantly about all our women things & when it comes to planning & expecting babies our entire world knows all the hopes and heartbreaks. Add that to school kids dead and injured, it can't be much longer.
If articles like this were allowed to be pushed out main stream, it could help raise the awareness of what is happening because your approach is full of curiosity which is the sweet spot for opening up to new information. Sometimes normies get berated by the sensationalism of what we see as obvious 9-sigma-black-swan-canaries-in-the-covid-coal-mine-holy-shit events and automatically reject it because they didn’t have the inferential steps we did to get here.
But Pamela is right - people are started to talk. I’m already hearing about friends who are having trouble getting pregnant, from natural conception to IVFs.
As far as your question about why are younger people disproportionately dying, I wonder if it has to do with hormones. I noticed that pubescent boys and young men in their prime are more likely to get myocarditis than different groups. Perhaps testosterone has something to do with it? In general, younger people (athletes) are more active and output much more energy, makes their blood pump faster so to speak. And if the blood is gunked up, it has more opportunities to clog up in bottleneck spots? This is coming from a non scientist but I like to visualise complicated thoughts (and this is the thought lab!!) into observable phenomena. So I see it in my mind’s eye like when I used to paint with a paint gun and if the pressure was too high, the parts of the paint that were “thicker” would clog up the nozzle, but if you turn the pressure down, the thickness wasn’t forced to go through the tiny nozzle and if it did, it slid out slowly like a slimy octopus through an itsy bitsy crack in the boat.
I think the number of excess deaths required before people notice would be dependent on the age groups and to what the deaths are attributed. With children or teenagers, it would be much more noticeable, especially if the deaths occur from disease that does not normally affect this group.
"how many deaths would there need to be in a given week for most people to even get an inkling that there is something wrong going on?"
Unless the deaths touch individual's lives, millions can die and few but the data trackers would notice. How many unexpected deaths within a community or circle of friends before it is undeniable that they are related to the same product?
Issues matter most when they're personal and folks have skin in the game. My guess is the miscarriages and fertility issues will burst this bubble because women talk to each other constantly about all our women things & when it comes to planning & expecting babies our entire world knows all the hopes and heartbreaks. Add that to school kids dead and injured, it can't be much longer.
> Unless the deaths touch individual's lives, millions can die and few but the data trackers would notice.
Well said. I agree. It's even worse when the media remains silent.
If articles like this were allowed to be pushed out main stream, it could help raise the awareness of what is happening because your approach is full of curiosity which is the sweet spot for opening up to new information. Sometimes normies get berated by the sensationalism of what we see as obvious 9-sigma-black-swan-canaries-in-the-covid-coal-mine-holy-shit events and automatically reject it because they didn’t have the inferential steps we did to get here.
But Pamela is right - people are started to talk. I’m already hearing about friends who are having trouble getting pregnant, from natural conception to IVFs.
As far as your question about why are younger people disproportionately dying, I wonder if it has to do with hormones. I noticed that pubescent boys and young men in their prime are more likely to get myocarditis than different groups. Perhaps testosterone has something to do with it? In general, younger people (athletes) are more active and output much more energy, makes their blood pump faster so to speak. And if the blood is gunked up, it has more opportunities to clog up in bottleneck spots? This is coming from a non scientist but I like to visualise complicated thoughts (and this is the thought lab!!) into observable phenomena. So I see it in my mind’s eye like when I used to paint with a paint gun and if the pressure was too high, the parts of the paint that were “thicker” would clog up the nozzle, but if you turn the pressure down, the thickness wasn’t forced to go through the tiny nozzle and if it did, it slid out slowly like a slimy octopus through an itsy bitsy crack in the boat.